Bacc, baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin. The bacc ii author tea published by springer international publishing isbn. Analysis of the climate change in lithuanian coastal areas of. Second assessment of climate change for the baltic sea region bacc ii. Not to be cited without prior reference to the author ices cm 2011r. Assessment of wave climate and energy resources in the. Bacc, the baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin, is a baltex project to assemble, integrate and assess available knowledge of past, current, and expected future climate. The report is a result of collaboration between helcom and the baltex community. Projected baltic sea ecosystem changes in future climates h. Climate change scenarios and impacts for the baltic sea basin varam. The effects on water quantity and quality of a relatively. Climate change in the baltic sea area helcom thematic assessment in 2007 this helcom thematic assessment on climate change in the baltic sea area is based on the assessment of climate change. Transboundary waters in the basin of the baltic sea1 basinsubbasins.
Pdf climate change during the holocene past 12,000 years. Impact of climate change on the baltic sea ecosystem over the. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin regional climate studies. Towards an integrated assessment of climate change induced. Towards an integrated assessment of climate change. Cumulative impacts on the marine environment state of. An ipcclike assessment report for past, ongoing and possible future climate change and the impact of terrestrial and marine ecosystems in the baltic sea basin has been assembled by about 80. The baltic sea regions climate is presented in a new book smhi. Second assessment of climate change for the baltic sea. Detailed assessment of climate variability in the baltic. Bacc ii second baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin is the successor to bacc, which was terminated with the publication of the bacc book. These changes could have an impact on the ecological system of the baltic sea, as described in the assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin.
Pdf climate change assessment for the baltic sea basin. The flagship publication series of helcom is the baltic sea environment proceedings bsep, running since the year 1980 after the first helsinki convention was ratified. Baltic climate climate change perceptions in the baltic. Bacc the baltex assessment of climate change for the. The baltic sea is a relatively shallow sea in northeastern europe, surrounded by the scandinavian peninsula, the mainland of central and east europe and the danish islands. In the assessment of wave energy resources along the lithuanian coast of the baltic sea, energy flux was estimated as follows saulnier et al. Transboundary waters in the basin of the baltic sea1 basinsubbasins total area km. Curonian lagoon drainage basin modelling and assessment. Climate change effects on the baltic sea borderland between. Assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin. Ii book second assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin to be published in 2014.
Adaptation to climate change is a central issue for the planning and implementation of measures to reduce nutrient inputs, as well as for adjusting the level of nutrient input reductions to ensure. Strengthening europes resilience to the impacts of. Elken and others published assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin find, read and cite all the research you need on researchgate. Pdf assessment of climate change for the baltic sea. Based on the baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin bacc. Climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies already. The hydrology of coastal catchments is influenced by both sea level and climate. The research object is the baltic sea nearshore at the lithuanian coastline. Baltic sea climate change climate modelling ecosystems rain regional climate research ecosystem marine temperature.
Regional climate offices and regional assessment reports. An ipcclike assessment report for past, ongoing and possible future climate change and the impact of terrestrial and marine ecosystems in the baltic sea basin has been assembled by about. Climate change has a strong impact on ecosystem health, particularly in marginal seas 1 such as the baltic, for example causing the spreading of anoxic areas oxygenfree areas, the socalled. Adaptation to climate change is a central issue for the planning and implementation of measures to reduce nutrient inputs, as well as for adjusting the level of nutrient input reductions to ensure protection of the baltic sea marine environment in a changing climate. Assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin bacc. Bacc, the baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin is.
Climate change assessment for the baltic sea basin. A 30yr climate data record cdr of sea surface temperature sst has been produced with daily gapfree analysis fields for the north sea and the baltic sea region from 1982 to 2012 by. Baltic earth, the research network for the baltic sea catchment basin reckermann et al. Bacc baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea. Following earlier regional assessment studies, such as the assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin and the north sea region climate change assessment, knowledge acquired from available.
Baltic sea and some of their transboundary tributaries. Baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin 20092014. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets. Detailed assessment of climate variability in the baltic sea. Bacc the baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic. Projections for the 21st century indicate an accelerated warming trend and changes in precipitation patterns. New assessment report on climate change in the baltic sea 20. The index is based on currently best available regional data, but spatial gaps occur in some underlying datasets, as identified in the smaller map in the downloadable file below ececosystem components layers, hahuman activities. Spatial characterization of the baltic sea drainage basin and its unmonitored catchments. Dec 14, 2011 the hydrology of coastal catchments is influenced by both sea level and climate.
The ecosystem on land and in the sea has started the adaptation to higher temperatures, and the change will continue. This book is an update of the first bacc assessment, published in 2008. Climate change perceptions in the baltic sea region balticclimate final report. Over the period 19792019, the arctic has lost, on average, 82 000 km 2 per year by the end of summer and 42 000 km 2 of sea ice per year in. Analysis of the climate change in lithuanian coastal areas. According to a 2015 study into the effect of climate change on the baltic sea basin, the changes in temperature and precipitation patterns are likely to change the southwestern baltic forestss flora. Pdf assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin. Second assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin. The extent and volume of arctic sea ice is declining rapidly. Assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin regional climate studies kindle edition by bacc author team.
Assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin it seems that youre in usa. The baltic sea pressure index shows spatial variation in potential cumulative pressure on the baltic sea, by combining data on several pressures together. Assessment of wave climate and energy resources in the baltic. Bacc, the baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin is an endeavor of baltex now. Climate related change in terrestrial and freshwater ecosystems. New book 7 years after bacc i, following its format. A multiscale assessment of human vulnerability to climate. Arctic summer sea ice in each of the last years 20072019 was lower than in any previous year 19792006. The expected climate change is of growing interest on the regional scale, including the baltic sea. Sea region, the bacc team was installed in 2005 to prepare a regional climate change assessment for the baltic sea region. Projections of future anthropogenic climate change. The klaipeda seaport, located at a navigable strait, is the northernmost icefree port on the eastern coast of the baltic sea. It also includes lakes located within the basin of the baltic sea. Climate change in the baltic sea area helcom thematic.
Baltic sea climate change climate modelling ecosystems rain regional. State of the baltic sea second helcom holistic assessment. Analysis of climate change impacts on the ecological system. Baltic climate climate change perceptions in the baltic sea. These include climate changes since the last glaciation approx. The baltic sea regions climate is presented in a new book. Second assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin, springer. Climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies. Questionnaire results regional conditions, problems and potentials due to climate change focuses on climate change perceptions in the baltic sea region. The new compilation bacc ii, second assessment of climate change for the baltic sea. It offers new and updated scientific findings in regional climate research for the baltic sea basin. Curonian lagoon drainage basin modelling and assessment of. Hence, a comprehensive assessment of the impact of climate change on coastal catchments is a challenging. Projected baltic sea ecosystem changes in future climates.
Strengthening europes resilience to the impacts of climate change. The purpose of the first bacc assessment was to provide the scientific community with an assessment of ongoing climate variations in the baltic basin. An example for the city of parnu estonia prepared by. Climate change effects on the baltic sea borderland.
It integrates available knowledge of historical, current, and expected future climate change. In the present study we provide a detailed analysis of climate variability and. Valentina sagris laura petrov carlo lavalle ecdgjoint research centre institute for environment and sustainabilityland management unit ispra, italy. Mimicking the ipcc, an outstanding example of a regional assessment is the baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin bacc. This is the first systematic scientific effort to assess climate change in the baltic sea region. In the present study, a coupled groundwatersurface water model is forced by dynamically downscaled results from a general circulation model. Analysis of the climate change in lithuanian coastal areas of the baltic sea. Introduction and summary climate change during the holocene past 12,000 years the historical time frame past years. It shows general results from surveys implemented in 2009 and 2011, reflections and conclusions. Assessment of uncertainties in scenario simulations of. Baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin. Over the period 19792019, the arctic has lost, on average, 82 000 km 2 per year by the end of summer and 42 000 km 2 of sea ice per year in winter. Climate change in the baltic sea area helcom thematic assessment in 2007 this helcom thematic assessment on climate change in the baltic sea area is based on the assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin project the bacc project. These changes could have an impact on the ecological system of the baltic sea, as.
Second assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin author. The baltic sea is an intracontinental dilution basin. Questionnaire results regional conditions, problems and potentials due to climate change focuses on climate change. In assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin. Analysis of climate change impacts on the ecological. Sea surface temperature climate data record for the north. Spatial characterization of the baltic sea drainage basin. Arctic winter sea ice in 2018 and 2017 were the lowest on record. Hence, a comprehensive assessment of the impact of climate change on coastal catchments is a challenging task. Climate change in the baltic sea region what do we know. However, simulations with global models do not sufficiently resolve the regional impact. Climate change research is necessary on global, regional, and local scales. Arctic and baltic sea ice european environment agency.
New assessment report on climate change in the baltic sea. The bacc book is now also available for free download. Consequently, dynamic downscaling methods are being used to convert the results obtained in global models to the regional scale. Impact of climate change on the baltic sea ecosystem over. Climate change has a strong impact on ecosystem health, particularly in marginal seas 1 such as the baltic, for example causing the spreading of anoxic areas oxygenfree areas, the socalled dead. Table 2 climate change projections for the aral sea basin by the middle of the twenty. Bacc, the baltex assessment of climate change for the baltic sea basin, is a baltex project to assemble, integrate and assess available knowledge of past, current, and expected future climate change and its impacts on ecosystems in the baltic sea basin. Bacc ii baltic earth assessment of climate change for the baltic.
1038 532 245 345 292 989 643 726 1561 216 1349 1355 988 457 43 504 105 870 1298 607 869 582 1432 856 1442 1141 613 52 315 1441 1368 466 985 1382 1185 1411 1437 209 19